Top 100 Rotisserie Players: January 2016

Mike McMillan

2016-01-15

The Top 100 rotisserie league Fantasy Hockey Rankings are here to start off 2016 and guide your team towards playoffs.

 

Player values for the Top 100 Roto Rankings are generated by the guys at FantasyHockeyGeek.com and are weighted over multiple years to determine a player's production consistency.  We use their per-game averages to account for player who have missed time in the past due to injury. This is then weighted against the Dobber Hockey player projections to boil down the evaluations into one single number and rank the top 100 players in fantasy hockey (forwards and defensemen only).

 

As we navigate through the NHL season the values will be adjusted to include current season production, weighted at a progressively increasing percentage. To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using shooting percentages.  Based on the differential between player’s shooting percentage at even strength this season compared to their career average 5v5 SH%, we find some players that should climb up to the top 100 in coming weeks and some that will fall off…

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Increase in Value

 

Player

SH% Differential

Jonathan Toews

-7.84

Sidney Crosby

-7.45

Steven Stamkos

-7.41

Ryan Getzlaf

-6.56

Evgeni Malkin

-6.53

 

 

These players are shooting significantly below where they should be, which should adjust over the next month and result in a scoring bounce back after the all star break.

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Decrease in Value

 

Player

SH% Differential

Travis Hamonic

5.51

Mark Giordano

5.04

P.K. Subban

4.85

Ryan Suter

4.69

Johnny Boychuk

4.58

 

 

These players are shooting significantly above where they should be, which should also adjust and reduce their per-game value for fantasy.

 

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SOG, and Hits. Remember: This is NOT a points-only ranking, but a ranking for rotisserie leagues. Here is the January Top 100 Roto…

 

Rank

Name

Value

G

A

+/-

PIM

SOG

PPP

HITS

SH%
5v5

CSH%
5v5

SH%
Diff.

1

Alex Ovechkin

168

46

22

21

5

27

22

25

10.3

9.79

0.51

2

Dustin Byfuglien

139

17

22

9

34

20

11

25

9.1

6.29

2.81

3

Jamie Benn

136

35

38

16

13

11

12

12

10.2

12.19

-1.99

4

P.K. Subban

126

10

33

20

17

13

20

12

9.2

4.35

4.85

5

Patrick Kane

120

37

42

26

-6

12

24

-14

10.3

10.43

-0.13

6

Tyler Seguin

111

38

35

14

-8

17

16

-1

10.2

10.74

-0.54

7

Erik Karlsson

107

17

41

7

3

17

24

-1

8.8

7.21

1.59

8

Evgeni Malkin

105

32

37

-3

18

10

27

-14

5.4

11.93

-6.53

9

Kris Letang

104

10

37

-9

18

14

22

12

3.6

4.08

-0.48

10

Nicklas Backstrom

102

21

42

18

-2

-1

25

-1

8.8

9.44

-0.64

11

Drew Doughty

101

10

27

19

11

10

12

12

7

5.19

1.81

12

Taylor Hall

98

30

34

8

5

19

4

-1

8.3

8.55

-0.25

13

Brent Burns

93

24

29

-10

10

13

15

12

6.2

6.09

0.11

14

Sidney Crosby

92

27

37

-2

3

9

19

-1

6.5

13.95

-7.45

15

David Backes

92

21

21

2

19

1

2

25

5.2

9.96

-4.76

16

Joe Pavelski

91

35

24

11

-1

6

18

-1

10.4

9.64

0.76

17

Zach Parise

87

32

22

13

-2

14

9

-1

5.3

8.84

-3.54

18

Dion Phaneuf

87

7

21

-6

27

6

6

25

5.7

4

1.7

19

Milan Lucic

87

20

23

4

23

-3

-5

25

8.3

13.42

-5.12

20

James Neal

87

27

18

14

15

10

5

-1

7.5

11.02

-3.52

21

Kevin Shattenkirk

86

13

32

-1

4

13

26

-1

5.7

4.33

1.37

22

John Tavares

86

30

32

1

2

9

13

-1

6.9

11.12

-4.22

23

Gabriel Landeskog

85

21

29

-3

18

6

4

12

7.2

8.21

-1.01

24

Scott Hartnell

85

23

21

-12

36

1

4

12

10

9.45

0.55

25

Shea Weber

83

17

24

-2

5

11

17

12

6.3

5.24

1.06

26

Vladimir Tarasenko

83

38

27

6

1

14

10

-14

8.2

11.81

-3.61

27

John Carlson

83

11

32

16

-3

12

16

-1

7.2

5.24

1.96

28

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

83

19

23

-12

7

18

15

12

9.1

6.37

2.73

29

Patrice Bergeron

82

25

28

8

2

10

11

-1

6

9.08

-3.08

30

Keith Yandle

82

6

31

13

4

13

15

-1

8.7

4.49

4.21

31

Connor McDavid

81

28

35

-10

2

9

18

-1

21.43

21.43

0

32

Wayne Simmonds

81

22

20

-16

34

1

8

12

7.5

9.66

-2.16

33

Rick Nash

80

32

21

12

1

17

-1

-1

10

10.62

-0.62

34

Max Pacioretty

79

32

22

9

-3

17

5

-1

6

9.31

-3.31

35

Dylan Larkin

79

23

20

41

2

3

-8

-1

11.5

15.62

-4.12

36

Patrick Sharp

79

27

27

1

-1

14

12

-1

9.5

9.69

-0.19

37

Claude Giroux

79

23

33

-13

6

8

22

-1

5.7

9.46

-3.76

38

Kyle Okposo

77

22

33

2

6

9

6

-1

7

9.84

-2.84

39

Corey Perry

77

32

20

-2

14

9

5

-1

6.3

11.9

-5.6

40

Alexander Steen

77

23

30

0

4

8

13

-1

7

9.78

-2.78

41

Nathan MacKinnon

77

27

29

0

-3

16

9

-1

9.5

7.16

2.34

42

Justin Faulk

77

18

24

-9

1

17

14

12

6.4

3.91

2.49

43

Blake Wheeler

77

23

33

9

3

6

4

-1

8.4

9.91

-1.51

44

Brandon Dubinsky

77

17

27

-11

17

2

-1

25

7.8

8.51

-0.71

45

Brad Marchand

76

26

19

10

28

2

-8

-1

6.2

11.58

-5.38

46

Steven Stamkos

75

35

22

-5

1

8

15

-1

7.9

15.31

-7.41

47

Jeff Carter

75

26

27

18

-5

8

3

-1

6.7

9.79

-3.09

48

Victor Hedman

75

9

28

20

7

9

1

-1

8.5

5.92

2.58

49

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Evander Kane

75

25

15

-22

13

24

-5

25

3.9

8.06

-4.16

50

Jonathan Toews

75

26

26

19

4

2

-2

-1

6.1

13.94

-7.84

51

Ryan Suter

75

6

30

21

1

8

9

-1

7.5

2.81

4.69

52

T.J. Oshie

74

23

26

16

1

1

7

-1

8.9

10.84

-1.94

53

Nikita Kucherov

73

28

27

7

-3

6

9

-1

6.7

12.55

-5.85

54

Ryan Getzlaf

73

18

36

0

11

2

8

-1

5.3

11.86

-6.56

55

Chris Kreider

72

17

17

9

21

0

-5

12

9.4

9.57

-0.17

56

Mark Giordano

71

15

27

4

6

11

7

-1

9.2

4.16

5.04

57

Joe Thornton

70

13

36

11

4

-4

10

-1

10.5

8.9

1.6

58

Nick Foligno

70

22

26

-8

10

3

6

12

6.3

9.83

-3.53

59

John Klingberg

70

10

36

13

-3

2

12

-1

8.5

11.94

-3.44

60

Tyler Toffoli

70

29

20

23

-7

8

-2

-1

9.3

9.2

0.1

61

Matt Niskanen

69

6

24

14

2

5

5

12

7.7

4.42

3.28

62

Roman Josi

68

14

30

-1

0

11

14

-1

6.8

6.95

-0.15

63

Travis Hamonic

68

5

15

4

14

9

-5

25

7.7

2.19

5.51

64

Matt Beleskey

68

18

18

4

13

1

-9

25

9

8.8

0.2

65

Mark Borowiecki

68

0

6

-6

50

-10

-10

38

4.7

8.3

-3.6

66

Henrik Zetterberg

67

15

35

2

-6

5

17

-1

8.1

7.5

0.6

67

Derick Brassard

67

20

28

15

-2

-1

8

-1

11.5

9.27

2.23

68

Matt Martin

67

8

4

3

26

-9

-15

50

7.9

6.84

1.06

69

Duncan Keith

67

11

32

18

-5

10

14

-14

7

4.07

2.93

70

Jake Muzzin

66

8

24

6

7

6

5

12

6.4

6.9

-0.5

71

Ryan Johansen

66

19

32

-2

3

4

11

-1

7.1

11.06

-3.96

72

Kyle Palmieri

66

25

19

-5

7

4

4

12

7.2

10.1

-2.9

73

Brendan Gallagher

65

26

20

12

4

9

-3

-1

7.8

8.4

-0.6

74

Dougie Hamilton

65

13

20

9

6

13

4

-1

7

3.64

3.36

75

Chris Kunitz

65

16

14

12

3

-3

-2

25

7.1

9.1

-2

76

Andrew Ladd

64

20

24

-4

9

4

0

12

8.9

10.31

-1.41

77

Brent Seabrook

64

9

25

10

-4

5

8

12

6.1

8

-1.9

78

Steve Downie

64

11

9

-12

76

-8

-10

-1

10.8

10.57

0.23

79

Jakub Voracek

64

15

35

-10

4

5

16

-1

5.9

9.73

-3.83

80

Logan Couture

63

22

28

2

-7

8

11

-1

7.7

7.5

0.2

81

Patric Hornqvist

63

21

19

-3

-3

13

4

12

4.4

7.76

-3.36

82

Tyson Barrie

62

14

31

1

-4

7

14

-1

9.3

9

0.3

83

Johnny Boychuk

62

7

19

13

-1

14

-2

12

7.7

3.12

4.58

84

Erik Johnson

62

13

18

-4

7

14

2

12

6.5

4.08

2.42

85

Evgeny Kuznetsov

62

18

29

12

-2

0

6

-1

9.7

9.2

0.5

86

Daniel Sedin

61

23

31

4

-4

10

11

-14

10

9.1

0.9

87

Anze Kopitar

60

22

30

10

-9

1

8

-1

8.6

8.1

0.5

88

Derek Dorsett

60

6

8

-21

78

-8

-15

12

4.5

6.21

-1.71

89

Zdeno Chara

59

10

16

6

11

4

0

12

8.5

7.9

0.6

90

Tyler Myers

59

10

20

9

19

6

-4

-1

7.1

7.05

0.05

91

Aaron Ekblad

59

13

21

13

2

7

4

-1

8.5

7.7

0.8

92

Torey Krug

59

9

25

1

-1

13

13

-1

6.4

8.1

-1.7

93

Ryan Kesler

58

18

15

-13

22

3

2

12

3.9

9.67

-5.77

94

Anders Lee

58

18

20

4

5

3

-4

12

6.7

11.54

-4.84

95

Andrei Markov

58

5

28

13

-1

0

14

-1

8.8

4.61

4.19

96

Filip Forsberg

57

19

26

-2

-1

6

11

-1

7.5

9.13

-1.63

97

Troy Brouwer

57

17

13

-2

10

-5

-1

25

5.8

10.77

-4.97

98

David Krejci

57

19

34

-1

-1

0

8

-1

10.2

9.1

1.1

99

Boone Jenner

56

21

16

-13

8

2

-1

25

7.4

7.4

0

100

Nazem Kadri

56

18

22

-7

6

6

-2

12

6.6

9.3

-2.7

 

Just Missed the Cut: Marian Hossa, Phil Kessel, and Bobby Ryan.

 

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey and for values specific to your league settings, go to FantasyHockeyGeek.com to get customized rankings. As always, check out DobberHockey.com for daily fantasy hockey analysis.

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