Top 200 Fantasy Prospect Forwards – March 2017

by Dobber on March 16, 2017 | (13 Comments)

Here are the Top 200 prospect forwards to own in fantasy hockey - March edition

 

This month I did a full and thorough audit, as I do every four or five months. The list takes into account upside, likelihood, wait time, team depth, and organizational status. "Type" is offense, two-way, offensive/small, power forward. This month's graduates can be found at the bottom...

Don't forget: plus or minus 5.0 rating points are considered equal value and at that point becomes a matter of need, mood, or opinion.

 

Mar 10 Prospect Team type Prospect Rating Feb 10 Jan 10
1 Jake Guentzel PIT o 79.7 9 15
2 Anthony Mantha DET o 79.5 6 7
3 Dylan Strome ARI o 79.4 5 6
4 Jesse Puljujarvi EDM t 78.3 1 1
5 Clayton Keller ARI o 76.2 17 17
6 Pavel Buchnevich NYR o 72.1 10 26
7 Jimmy Vesey NYR o 71.9 7 3
8 Kyle Connor WPG o 71.0 8 8
9 Joel Eriksson Ek MIN o 70.6 14 12
10 Pavel Zacha NJD p 69.8 12 11
11 Mathew Barzal NYI o 69.5 13 10
12 Kevin Labanc SJS o 68.9 18 18
13 Jakub Vrana WAS o 68.2 16 16
14 Pierre-Luc Dubois CBJ t 68.0 24 13
15 Connor Brown TOR o 67.7 15 21
16 Oliver Bjorkstrand CBJ o 67.6 19 19
17 Colin White OTT o 67.4 20 20
18 Brendan Perlini ARI o 67.2 21 24
19 Anthony Beauvillier NYI o 66.9 23 22
20 Timo Meier SJS o 66.8 27 25
21 Andreas Athanasiou DET o 66.8 22 23
22 Kevin Fiala NSH o 65.6 26 27
23 Artturi Lehkonen MON o 65.6 25 28
24 Ivan Barbashev STL t 65.4 28 32
25 Alexander Nylander BUF o 65.1 29 29
26 Nick Schmaltz CHI o 65.0 35 37
27 Nikolay Goldobin VAN o 64.9 34 36
28 Brock Boeser VAN p 64.8 30 30
29 Tyson Jost COL o 64.8 32 33
30 Josh Ho-Sang NYI o 62.5 49 53
31 Logan Brown OTT o 61.0 51 59
32 Jack Roslovic WPG t 60.7 39 34
33 Jayce Hawryluk FLA o 60.7 38 43
34 Kirill Kaprizov MIN os 60.5 87 113
35 Daniel Sprong PIT o 60.2 54 57
36 Drake Caggiula EDM os 60.0 44 47
37 Denis Malgin FLA os 59.9 45 40
38 Nicolas Petan WPG os 59.8 42 45
39 Lawson Crouse ARI p 59.6 33 35
40 Mark Jankowski CGY p 59.5 46 41
41 Sven Andrighetto COL os 59.4 40 39
42 Vladislav Kamenev NSH t 59.4 47 50
43 Tage Thompson STL o 59.4 160 161
44 Ryan Hartman CHI t 58.8 53 80
45 Danton Heinen BOS o 58.1 37 42
46 Charles Hudon MON o 58.0 43 46
47 Jason Dickinson DAL t 57.7 41 44
48 Christian Fischer ARI p 57.7 61 131
49 Hudson Fasching BUF p 57.7 55 51
50 Sonny Milano CBJ o 57.6 57 60
51 Adrian Kempe LAK o 57.4 58 52
52 Alex DeBrincat CHI os 57.3 59 55
53 J.T. Compher COL t 57.3 60 56
54 Kasperi Kapanen TOR o 57.2 70 71
55 Michael McLeod NJD t 56.7 67 67
56 Luke Kunin MIN o 56.6 91 93
57 Tyler Motte CHI os 56.6 52 48
58 Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson BOS o 56.4 72 73
59 Nikita Scherbak MON o 56.1 63 64
60 Evgeny Svechnikov DET o 56.0 65 66
61 Austin Czarnik BOS os 55.4 68 69
62 Alex Tuch MIN p 55.1 48 49
63 Curtis Lazar CGY o 55.0 64 61
64 Alan Quine NYI o 54.9 69 70
65 Jean-Christophe Beaudin COL o 54.6 71 72
66 Brendan Leipsic TOR o 54.3 73 76
67 Denis Gurianov DAL o 54.1 106 105
68 Tyler Bertuzzi DET p 54.1 75 78
69 Daniel O'Regan SJS t 54.1 140 141
70 Sam Steel ANA o 53.4 143 145
71 Anton Rodin VAN o 53.4 78 74
72 Nick Merkley ARI o 53.4 79 84
73 Hunter Shinkaruk CGY o 53.0 76 75
74 Tobias Lindberg TOR o 52.4 82 81
75 Julien Gauthier CAR o 52.3 150 151
76 Michael McCarron MON p 52.3 62 65
77 Michael Dal Colle NYI o 52.3 66 63
78 Nicolas Roy CAR p 52.0 97 97
79 Henrik Borgstrom FLA t 52.0 207 210
80 Francis Perron OTT o 51.9 101 89
81 Kenny Agostino STL o 51.6 83 287
82 Taylor Raddysh TBL o 51.6 111 110
83 Riley Barber WAS t 51.3 81 85
84 Teemu Pulkkinen MIN o 50.9 90 82
85 Rocco Grimaldi COL os 50.7 86 90
86 Jake Virtanen VAN p 50.7 80 83
87 Nikita Gusev TBL os 50.7 99 137
88 Seth Griffith TOR o 50.6 96 96
89 Cliff Pu BUF o 50.5 100 118
90 Nikita Soshnikov TOR o 50.4 103 102
91 Max Jones ANA p 50.3 93 94
92 Maxim Letunov SJS o 50.0 94 95
93 Anders Bjork BOS t 49.9 108 107
94 Daniel Carr MON o 49.5 89 92
95 Jeremy Bracco TOR o 49.5 127 128
96 Brock McGinn CAR p 49.3 107 109
97 Kevin Roy ANA o 49.3 104 103
98 Martin Reway MON o 49.1 92 87
99 AJ Greer COL p 48.9 128 129
100 Justin Bailey BUF o 48.9 154 155
101 Matt Puempel NYR o 48.8 110 106
102 German Rubtsov PHI t 48.7 120 121
103 Laurent Dauphin ARI o 48.6 121 120
104 Ty Rattie STL o 48.5 114 99
105 Rasmus Asplund BUF o 48.4 132 134
106 Reid Boucher VAN o 48.3 109 100
107 Andrew Mangiapane CGY o 48.3 98 98
108 Jordan Greenway MIN p 48.3 247 247
109 Alexander Khokhlachev BOS o 48.2 124 125
110 Vince Hinostroza CHI os 48.1 125 126
111 Cole Ully DAL o 48.1 118 117
112 Anthony Cirelli TBL o 48.0 191 193
113 Filip Chlapik OTT o 48.0 234 235
114 Valentin Zykov CAR o 47.9 102 101
115 John Quenneville NJD t 47.9 116 115
116 Oskar Lindblom PHI t 47.9 129 130
117 Adam Mascherin FLA os 47.8 130 191
118 Zach Sanford STL o 47.7 84 62
119 Nicholas Baptiste BUF o 47.5 155 156
120 Joseph Blandisi NJD o 47.4 163 152
121 Ryan Gropp NYR p 47.4 147 148
122 Michael Sgarbossa FLA o 47.3 135 183
123 Josh Leivo TOR p 47.2 137 132
124 Nick Paul OTT p 47.1 95 88
125 Riley Tufte DAL p 47.0 88 91
126 Dmytro Timashov TOR o 47.0 126 127
127 Adam Gaudette VAN o 47.0 352 353
128 Nick Sorensen ANA o 46.8 115 114
129 Grant Besse ANA o 46.7 138 138
130 Rourke Chartier SJS o 46.6 131 133
131 Carl Grundstrom TOR o 46.6 192 194
132 Andrew Poturalski CAR o 46.6 144 146
133 Jonny Brodzinski LAK o 46.5 181 184
134 John Hayden CHI p 46.4 301 302
135 Nicklas Jensen NYR p 46.4 146 147
136 Deven Sideroff ANA o 46.4 123 123
137 Kalle Kossila ANA os 46.1 151 166
138 Oskar Sundqvist PIT t 46.1 158 159
139 Dylan Sikura CHI o 46.0 186 245
140 Vitali Abramov CBJ os 46.0 337 338
141 Adam Erne TBL p 46.0 105 104
142 Kerby Rychel TOR p 45.9 145 108
143 Anton Slepyshev EDM o 45.8 152 153
144 Ryan MacInnis ARI t 45.8 113 112
145 Julius Nattinen ANA o 45.8 122 122
146 Daniel Zaar CBJ o 45.8 156 157
147 Morgan Klimchuk CGY t 45.6 119 119
148 Mitchell Stephens TBL t 45.5 141 143
149 Adam Brooks TOR o 45.5 274 274
150 Travis Boyd WAS o 45.5 161 162
151 Peter Cehlarik BOS o 45.5 182 203
152 Jake DeBrusk BOS o 45.3 165 165
153 Dominik Simon PIT o 45.2 166 168
154 Pontus Åberg  NSH t 45.2 167 169
155 Radel Fazleyev PHI o 45.0 134 136
156 Aleksi Saarela CAR o 45.0 172 174
157 Emile Poirier CGY o 44.8 157 158
158 Martins Dzierkals TOR o 44.8 149 150
159 Matej Stransky DAL o 44.8 174 176
160 Zach Senyshyn BOS o 44.8 175 177
161 Tyler Pitlick EDM o 44.6 177 180
162 Jordan Weal PHI os 44.6 244 140
163 Jonathan Dahlen VAN o 44.5 316 317
164 Sergey Tolchinsky CAR os 44.4 178 178
165 Remi Elie DAL p 44.4 179 181
166 Warren Foegele CAR o 44.4 164 164
167 Axel Holmstrom DET o 44.3 159 160
168 Cole Cassels VAN o 44.3 168 167
169 Kyle Rau FLA os 44.1 171 173
170 Adam Helewka SJS t 44.0 193 195
171 Mathieu Joseph TBL t 44.0 323 324
172 Justin Auger LAK p 44.0 310 311
173 Yakov Trenin NSH o 44.0 219 222
174 Martin Frk DET o 43.9 185 188
175 Gemel Smith DAL o 43.7 176 179
176 Alexandre Grenier VAN p 43.7 187 189
177 William Carrier BUF t 43.7 205 208
178 Conor Garland ARI os 43.6 184 187
179 Alexander Kerfoot NJD os 43.6 189 190
180 Mike Amadio LAK o 43.5 216 219
181 Brett Howden TBL t 43.5 190 192
182 Ryan Fitzgerald BOS o 43.5 180 182
183 Michael Mersch LAK o 43.4 273 273
184 Anthony Richard NSH o 43.4 153 154
185 Miles Wood NJD o 43.4 194 196
186 Maxim Shalunov CHI o 43.2 195 NR
187 Michael Spacek WPG o 43.1 169 171
188 Giorgio Estephan BUF o 43.1 162 163
189 Vaclav Karabacek BUF t 43.1 117 116
190 Andreas Johnson TOR o 43.1 170 172
191 Blake Pietila NJD o 43.1 224 225
192 Jordan Kyrou STL o 43.0 196 197
193 Brandon Hagel BUF o 43.0 NR NR
194 Mario Lucia MIN o 43.0 198 198
195 Tyler Benson EDM o 43.0 336 337
196 Janne Kuokkanen CAR o 43.0 261 261
197 Brendan Lemieux WPG p 42.8 148 149
198 Scott Kosmachuk WPG t 42.7 212 215
199 Carter Verhaeghe NYI o 42.6 203 206
200 Radovan Bondra CHI o 42.6 230 231

 

 

Graduating this month...

Brendan Gaunce
Christian Dvorak
Dennis Rasmussen
Frank Vatrano
Jayson Megna
Joel Armia
Lukas Sedlak
Marko Dano
Michael Chaput
Nick Cousins
Scott Wilson
Travis Konecny
Brayden Point
Brett Ritchie
Mikko Rantanen
Devin Shore

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • seb

    Hey Dobber can you give some perspective on the rating? What would an 80 rating be considered as? Love your stuff!

    • Dobber

      Just a result of my calculation. The three at 79 or 80 here:
      Guentzel is 95% certain of being an NHLer with an 80-point ceiling, zero wait time, and holds good value on the regular fantasy list.
      Mantha is 90%, 77-point ceiling, zero wait time, holds great value on the regular list because he has so many points already.
      Strome is 90% certain, 90-point ceiling, but two years wait time (or one more season, that is) and has good value on the regular fantasy list (similar to Guentzel).
      The regular fantasy list factors in 3YP, depth chart and injury proneness as well as the other stuff.

      On the regular list next month, Keller and Guentzel will move up, which will cause their numbers on this list to move up next month.

      • seb

        Hey thanks a lot and not just for the response but the heads up on Guentzel he has been a fantastic pick up

  • chimp82x

    I hate seeing Vesey above Connor, even if it’s essentially a wash. Yes, still bitter about last year’s Hobey snub. FWIW, Connor has 30P in his last 30 AHL games so a call-up should be coming. Not sure where he slots in though.

    That should bump him past that bum Vesey….

  • Striker

    What’s the criteria for graduation? It appears to be subjective or arbitrary.

    • Dobber

      Yeah pretty much. If you want something official, it’s “when Dobber becomes 100% confident that he’s not going to be returned to the minors – not 99.9%, 100%” And it doesn’t hurt to leave them there for another month if I’m only 99.99999%

      • Striker

        Sorry I like standards. My favorite is the Hockey News Future watch. The rate all players under 21 or the Hockey Writers who either grade pure prospects or teams players 25 & under. No perfect standard but you have to have something. Ha-ha!

        As always love the data & insight juts far more structured.

      • Dobber

        I’m the opposite. Structure ruins it. All rules need to be flexible. Been doing this for 10 years and I”m really happy with it.
        Appreciate the kind words

      • Striker

        I live by the 80/20 rule. It applies to almost everything in life. 80% follows a norm or pattern, the other 20% anything can happen.

        I’m 30+ years in. Started my 1st draft pool league in 1980-81, spun off our 1st H2H fantasy league in 91. No internet then, ran thru the Province; published stats in Tuesdays addition, & processed all stats manually with excel. We have 2 owners still participating that were their in 1980, the majority of the remainder mid to late 90’s.

      • Dobber

        That’s great. 27 years for me in my one keeper. Began when I was 15. Pen and paper every Tuesday. Read everything I could get my hands on.
        Been doing the prospects list publicly for 10 years. Been living by the 100/0 rule – 100% what I want to do and 0% what others want me to do 😉 haha

      • Striker

        You do good work. I checked in periodically going back about 7 years. Started reading the ramblings religiously 3 maybe 4 years ago just started weighing in over the last year maybe 2.

      • Dobber

        Thanks! Wish you chimed in earlier, it’s been great

      • Striker

        A couple of total hockey dweebs. I have been for as long as I can remember now. Late teens. It’s not a hockey pool, fantasy league, box pool what have you, it’s a hobby that has kind of manifested into numerous business opportunities. 1 that returns a significant return.