Looking Ahead 2015: Week 18

Mike Schmidt

2015-02-06

JoePavelski

 

Looking ahead at the best schedules in fantasy hockey for Week 18.

 

Early-round fantasy selections should be the centerpieces of any successful fantasy squad. They are blessed with prodigious talent, they boast track records of production at the NHL level and they win fantasy championships… or at least that's what their supposed to do. Sometimes the best players disappoint, and the following four skaters have been fantasy flops so far this year. That being said, let's look ahead and see if brighter days are coming for these guys.

 

Taylor Hall, C/LW, Edmonton (Yahoo Original Ranking: 21) – Prior to the 2014-15 NHL season, Hall totaled 130 points in 120 games during his previous two seasons in the NHL, thanks in no small part to his ability to score at even strength. According to Hockey Prospectus, Hall's 3.02 even-strength points per 60 ranked among the best in the league. This season has been a disappointing one for the top overall pick in the 2010 NHL Draft. A dip in his shooting percentage (.087 this year, compared to .111 for his career) and a complete inability to convert on the power play (no goals and three assists in 42 games this season) have caused his fantasy value to crater. Hall is more 60-point player than 80-point player right now, and it's difficult to imagine his fortunes will change for the better as one of the lone bright spots on a mostly moribund Edmonton squad.  

 

Nathan MacKinnon, C/RW, Colorado (Yahoo Original Ranking: 39) – Hockey fans and fantasy owners could not have asked for much for from a then-18-year-old MacKinnon during his rookie season a year ago. The top pick in the 2013 NHL Draft suited up for every single game, scored 63 points and totaled 10 points in seven postseason contests. Then this year happened. MacKinnon is seeing less than 17 minutes of ice time per game, his shooting percentage dropped from .100 to .057, and there have been times during the season in which his role on the Colorado offense has fluctuated. MacKinnon is a franchise cornerstone, but his superb rookie campaign caused fantasy owners to expect too much out of a 19-year-old second-year player on a so-so team. For MacKinnon to improve over the final few months of the season, Colorado coach Patrick Roy needs to find a way to get more production out of his 29th-ranked power play.

 

Jeff Skinner, LW/RW, Carolina (Yahoo Original Ranking: 52) – "Up and down" are the best words to describe this Carolina forward's career. He is a 22-year-old with two 30-goal seasons under his belt, yet he has suffered multiple concussions and has missed 42 games since the start of the 2011-2012 season. There is literally no chance Skinner will notch his third 30-goal campaign this year, as he has managed just 19 points in 45 games played (with only two points on the man advantage). Once considered a building block for the Hurricanes, Skinner is being treated like an afterthought these days. He is currently languishing on a line with Nathan Gerbe and Riley Nash for a Carolina squad that has sunk to the bottom of Metropolitan Division standings. It is safe to say his fantasy value will not rebound anytime soon.

 

Matt Niskanen, D, Washington (Yahoo Original Ranking: 95) – An offseason move from Pittsburgh to Washington and some regression from last season's unsustainable 1031 PDO have decimated Niskanen's fantasy value. It is probably safe to say last season's 46-point campaign with the Pens was a career year, as the then-27-year-old Niskanen thrived in the absence of fellow blueliners Kris Letang and Paul Martin. Now he is behind Mike Green as the top option for the power play for the Caps. Niskanen will continue to be a fantasy liability unless a trade or (another) injury removes Green from the lineup. If nothing changes, he is MAYBE a 30-point defenseman.

 

Now let's take a look ahead at some teams to lean on or avoid in the coming week or so:

 

Love 'Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming week)

 

Chicago 4.27 – four games – STL, ARI, VAN and NJD

Montreal 4.11 – four games – BOS, PHI, EDM and TOR

Steer Clear

Carolina 1.90 – two games – ANA and MIN

Detroit 2.01 – two games – PIT and WPG

Pittsburgh 2.05 – two games – DET and OTT

Buffalo 2.21 – two games – NYI and OTT

Washington 2.76 – three games – PHI, SJS and LAK

Monday, February 9 to Sunday, February 15

Best Bets

Minnesota 4.51 – four games – VAN, WPG, FLA and CAR

Chicago 4.41 – four games – all at home

San Jose  4.35 – four games – CGY, WAS, ARI and TBL

Edmonton 4.04 – four games – NJD, NYI, MTL and OTT

Vancouver 3.80 – four games – MIN, CHI, BOS and CGY

Steer Clear

Colorado 2.05 – two games – NYR and DAL

Carolina 1.90 – two games – ANA and MIN

Boston 2.10 – two games – DAL and VAN

Detroit 2.01 – two games – PIT and WPG

Buffalo 2.15 – two games – OTT and PHI

Tuesday, February 10 to Monday, February 16

Best Bets

Minnesota 4.40 – four games – WPG, FLA, CAR and VAN

Montreal 4.21 – four games – PHI, EDM, TOR and DET

New York Islanders 4.20 – four games – all at home

Ottawa 4.29 – four games – BUF, PIT, EDM and CAR

Winnipeg 4.10 – four games – MIN, NSH, DET and EDM

Steer Clear

New Jersey 1.81 – two games – both on road

Columbus 2.05 – two games – PHI and NYI

Buffalo 2.15 – two games – OTT and PHI

Washington 2.57- three games – all on road

Pittsburgh 2.86 – three games – DET, OTT and CHI

Wednesday, February 11 to Tuesday, February 17

Best Bets

San Jose 4.14 – four games – WAS, ARI, TBL and NSH

New York Islanders 4.10 – four games – TOR, CBJ, NYR and CAR

Carolina 4.00 – four games – ANA, MIN, OTT and NYI

Pittsburgh 3.91 – four games – DET, OTT, CHI and WAS

Vancouver 3.90 – four games – CHI, BOS, CGY and MIN

Steer Clear

Anaheim 2.05 – two games – CAR and WAS

Buffalo 2.10 – two games – PHI and NJD

Boston 2.14 – two games – both on road

Tampa Bay 2.60 – three games – STL, SJS and LAK

Arizona 2.90 – three games – SJS, NYR and COL

Thursday, February 12 to Wednesday, February 18

Best Bets

Minnesota 4.45 – four games – FLA, CAR, VAN and CGY

Ottawa 4.25 – four games – all at home

Los Angeles 4.21 – four games – CGY, WAS, TBL and COL

Montreal 4.15 – four games – DM, TOR, DET and OTT

New York Islanders 4.10 – four games – TOR, CBJ, NYR and CAR

Steer Clear

Buffalo 2.10 – two games – PHI and NJD

Washington 2.52 – three games – all on road

Pittsburgh 2.86 – three games -OTT, CHI and WAS

Arizona 2.90 – three games – SJS, NYR and COL

Dallas 2.92 – three games – FLA, COL and STL

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UPCOMING GAMES

Mar 29 - 19:03 BUF vs N.J

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JURAJ SLAFKOVSKY MTL
AUSTON MATTHEWS TOR
NATHAN MACKINNON COL
JACK QUINN BUF
JONATHAN DROUIN COL

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
IGOR SHESTERKIN NYR
IVAN FEDOTOV PHI
FREDERIK ANDERSEN CAR
LOGAN THOMPSON VGK
ALEKSEI KOLOSOV PHI

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency PIT Players
25.3 BRYAN RUST DREW O'CONNOR SIDNEY CROSBY
21.0 RICKARD RAKELL EVGENI MALKIN MICHAEL BUNTING
17.9 REILLY SMITH VALTTERI PUUSTINEN LARS ELLER

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