| Top 215 Prospects |
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| Monday, 10 November 2008 19:00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Here is the list of Top 215 prospects to own in your deep fantasy pool. This is not a reflection of a player’s actual upside in the NHL, but more of an indicator of his value in pools. It takes into account how many years away from the NHL a player is, as well as his upside. A potential 70-point player who is two years away is more valuable than a potential 80-point player who is four years away. Hockey pools with 300 or more players drafted should have most of the top 50 on the below list on one of the teams. Pools that are even deeper than that, may find some use in the rest of this list. Pools with 250 players may find use in only the top 20 or 30.As with the Fantasy Player list – these players are evaluated only for their offensive potential, and not for their penalty minutes, plus/minus or defense, etc. Goalies are not included in this list either.
My Prospect Ratings are NOT the same as my Fantasy Ratings, although Fantasy Ratings are taken into account. The term 'prospect' is simply my opinion, and I followed no rules to say whether or not the player is actually a prospect other than age (under 27), and the player must belong to an NHL team. Updated the 10th, of every month. Key
AVAILABLE NOW! Dobber's Fantasy Prospects Report 2010
April/May/June graduates: R. O'Reilly (39), Regin (48), Sobotka (42), Kennedy (7)
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Comments (89)
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Jon Dey
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What, Jeff Skinner isn't good enough to make the cut? He only scored the highest amount of goals in the REGs and led for most of the OHL playoffs losing to Hall by 2 points, and was the 7th overall pick. But, No, your right he isn't good enough to make 185 skaters. Let me ask, who owns Greg KcKegg in there league? Or has no one heard of him and just think he has a snappy name. |
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Ted Neal
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who will get more points in my league D men get 1.5 fof every point and forwards just 1 Who should I take with my first round pick PK Subban John Carlson or Tyler Ennis |
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fzusher
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Beleskey? What's with his big drop? Any news I am unaware of? Other big sliders like D'Agostini and Palushaj had rotten seasons, but Beleskey made exactly the kind of progress you could reasonably expect - managed to cement a top squad spot, and I don't think anyone should have expected him to make the top-6 right off the bat. |
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Rob Verhelle
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Looking Good Deschamps sky rockets up too 160 , still....of the ones i know , should be higher than Legace Trotter and definately Chipchura who is the forth center in Anaheim, but he cracks the list |
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tradejunkie
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Carlson/Karlsson So, how does Karlsson (1) rank higher than Carlson (2) on the prospects chart, but it's reversed on the "Top Defencemen" (62 vs 4 ? How different is the criteria on these charts vs. the Defencemen lists? |
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studley49
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... Thanks for the info Dobber! Thought anyone looking here might find this fact about Brett MacLean interesting. In his last 24 games he has 8 goals and 17 assists for 25 points. Pretty impressive if you ask me. |
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Carlos
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Re: Alexander Avtsin Alexander Avtsin 2009-2010 MHC Dynamo MHL 12 4 3 7 Dynamo Moskva KHL 30 3 6 9 *I believe he was injured during the first round of the KHL playoffs, doesn't matter cause Dynamo Moskva have been eliminated. |
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Bill Graham
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Alex Avtsyn - 2009 Draft Monteal. Hi Dobber, any chance of an update re Russian Alexander Avtsyn (#96 on list) who was drafted by Montreal 2009. Can't find anything on how and where he is playing this year. See you moved him up quite a bit, so you must have something on him. Thanks. |
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Brendan Connolly
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Gustav Nyquist Hi Dobber, I drafted Nyquist based on your prospect report so I'm glad to see him moving up the list. Has something changed that made him jump from the 90's to the 30's? Thanks! |
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Bill Graham
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Jeremy Morin Looking good Dobber. See Morin is moving up the latter. This kid just oozes talent. Natural goal score who isn't afraid to go into the tough areas to score. Atlanta has a real steal at 45th last years draft. He and Skinner (2010 draft) are just score, score with Kitchener in OHL. Go see them, and enjoy. |
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studley49
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Missing the Cut There's obviously a ton more I could come up with but these are the biggest omissions I could come up with based on your list. I was just wondering where the likes of these guys are at compared to others amongst the plethora of NHL prospects. Cody Eakin (F, WSH) - 46 goals, 86 points in 68 WHL GP > the WSH factor helps boost Kugryshev, but what about Eakin? Ryan Howse (W, CGY) - 46 goals, 70 points in 70 WHL GP > CGY needs a guy with that kind of scoring upside to develop ASAP. Teemu Hartikainen (F, EDM) - 12 goals, 28 points in 47 SM-Liiga GP > played very well for Finland at the past two WJCs, so I was just wondering what makes Sopanen a better Finnish prospect. Size? Blake Kessel (D, NYI) - 8 goals, 33 points in 33 NCAA GP > obviously only the top 30 d-men are shown, so I'm assuming he's on the cusp of making this list? Cheers! |
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ryan harrison
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... No movement on Purcell even though he caught "lightning" and found himself in a much favorable position? |
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Jake
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Graduates I think Downie should have graduated by now. Also, never knew Wandell had such a good upside. Interesting. |
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Rob Verhelle
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Deschamps ????? Where is the Top scorer of the Q ???, Nicholas Deschamps, he has the speed and now with the trade too Moncton this guy is burning up the league. With a NHL contract in his pocket I think Deschamps will be fighting for a spot in 2 years in Anaheim. |
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Chris Lavell
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Morin Just so you know for next month, Dobber, you have Jeremy Morin at both 167 and 180 on the skaters list for February. |
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Rossi
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Re: Swazzy Dobber does list the most recent graduates right before the posted list. Read through the first paragraph before the list and you'll find it there |
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swazzy
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... Thanks for the analysis...always a good read. I find it interesting to see: Riley Nash sits at 129 --> 6'1 175, 14 pts in 18 games (3rd season at Cornell) vs Derek Stephan at 175 --> 6'0 175, Top scorer at the World Juniors this year, 31 pts in 25 games so far this year (his second year with Wisconsin) I don't really see Nash stepping into the Oil any time soon, at least not before Stephan is ready in NYR...but your thoughts, not mine. One suggestion - it would be nice if you could list/name the players that you have recently graduated. Cheers |
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Derrek
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Mikko Lehtonen Was going through drafts on Hockeydb and saw this guy's name. Then noticed he's doing ok in the AHL this year, and he was pretty close to Brad Marchand last year in Providence. I've yet to see him play, but did a bit more digging and saw that he played with Oskar Osala, who you have on the list at 116. Maybe Mikko's upside isn't as high, but should this guy even be on anyone's radar right now, or is he just a late 3rd round pick by the Bruis that will never make a fantasy impact? |
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Stewy
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Evander Kane Am I blind or is Evander Kane not on the list here? If I'm not blind, then why is he not on the list? Seems like he would at least be a top 5 guy! |
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Bill Graham
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... Interesting you haven't pickup on Atlanta's 2009 2nd #45 pick LW Jeremy Morin. He is playing with OHL Kitchener. Putting up pretty big numbers for a rookie. Thought his skating was an issue, but saw him play, and didn't see his skating as an issue. Check him out. |
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sentium
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... Kris, you have to factor in time until the player breaks into the NHL as well. Tatar is a ways away still. |
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Kris
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Tatar Alright Dobber, I drafted Tatar based largely on your pumping his potential and this year he's exceeded the expectations of most and looks to be gaining momentum as the season goes on. He's been on a tear for his last 12 games and is more than holding his own as the youngest player in the AHL. So, how is he ranked 115 on this list???? I own guys in my keeper league who are ranked a full 60-70 spots higher than him and I wouldn't even hesitate to drop them for Tatar (if I didn't already own him). I'd go so far as to say that there are guys in your top 30 that I'd drop for him. Common Dobber, don't waffle on this guy. You were bang on with your assessment of him but your rankings don't reflect this. Time to show some love!! |
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sentium
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... It seems like most Devils fans consider Henrique to project as a third liner anyway... |
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Mason Black
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No love No love for Marcus Kruger??? He's on pace for a N. Backstrom year at the same age in the SEL and leading his team in points by a fair margin and top 8 in league scoring |
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Dave
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Missing? Just wondering what the reason is behind Adam Henrique not cracking the top 215? He is 3rd in the OHL in scoring (on a high powered offense granted) but was also named to the short list for Canada's WJC squad. Did you just miss him or is there a valid reason why this guy has no prospect upside? Thanks Dobbs |
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Irvin Penner
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How many years?? Hey there!! I just took over a team in a keeper league that was last and the owner wanted to get out. I know that there is no hope for the team this year so I decided to rebuild. Have I done the wrong thing? Here are some of the players I now have on my 23 man roster. Artem Anisimov, Wayne Simmonds, Clarke MacArthur, Gilbert Brule, Sergei Shirokov, Michael Del Zotto, Daniel Girardi, Dmitry Kulikov, Zack Stortini, Evgeny Grachev, Anton Stralman, Eric Tangradi and Jeff Deslauriers. I have never been in a keeper league before am I doing anything correct? Will I ever challenge for a top spot with a team like this? Thank-You Irv |
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Craig Maclean
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... 4+ years down the road, which dman gets more points? Del Zotto, Myers, Shattenkirk or Sangs? |
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lanky522
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Cody Franson I'm kind of surprised that Cody Franson didn't move up the list... he only has 5 points in 10 games and is seeing +2 minutes per game on the powerplay... that's more than i can say for the vast majority of defenders listed ahead of him on the list... |
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Andrew K
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Jeremy Morin Why no love for this guy? He's a pure goal scorer (ala Corey Perry) and tearing up Junior this year. |
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Derrek
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Tlusty Thx for the answer about my Tlusty question last month How do you have Jamie McGinn behind guys like Ebbett and Tikhonov at this point? Just because of potential upside? Even though McGinn's in the NHL for this year on the Sharks... |
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Derrek
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... In my Keeper Prospect Draft this year(points only), I drafted Jiri Tlusty. Two or three other people had him on their radars, however since then he's been undetectable. I', wondering if he'll return to his last year's form at any point, or if he'll be Rob Schremp/Tyler Bozak kind of guy... Maybe they'll wait on him for next year and he can play with Kadri??? I know he doesn't have the 9th best prospect rating anymore, is he going to fall further than 23rd next month and continue the decline is what i want to know. (4pts in 3 AHL games is descent, yet the terrible leafs haven't even called him up) |
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Oiler Fan
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... So do you still see Sanguinetti as number 7 on your list of Top Prospect D now that Del Zotto made the team over him? |
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Graham
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... Dobber, when does OEL make the D-Man list, I would think he's close to where Gonch is ranked, Phoenixly speaking. This kid's a stud. Put him in your list now so you look like Kreskin after the WJ's. |
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tradejunkie
said:
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Goalies? Since you've got forwards and D broken apart so nicely, do you think you, Angus, or Justin Goldman could add a "top 20 goalie prospects" section? You've got the goalie prospects mixed in to your regular rankings already, so it might be a waste of energy, but it just seems like this would be a nice spot to have a goalie prospect list. |
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gmw
said:
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... Please. enough. ryan shannon needs to be in the 100's. not 42. enough with the shannon love. he's as marketable as bubonic plague. |
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Tom
said:
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Colin Wilson Dobber, you need to give us some logic on why Wilson is #32. This kid has dominated NCAA and WJC, was a high draft pick, is a ripped 213 lbs and is trying to make a team bereft of talented prospects. He even had a 3 point game against Atlanta the other day. So what gives Dobber, have you overlooked this kid or do you find that maniacal grin of his just too off-setting? |
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Mark Wilson
said:
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... So i was wondering why steve downie is so low on the list??? he has awesome hands and physical play to be in the nhl if he can get his head on right... so i was wondering why he is up in the 100s??? |
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sentium
said:
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... Stalberg has been dominant in the ongoing prospect tournament in Kitchener. His chances of making the Leafs out of training camp this season have gone from "pretty damn unlikely" to "quite likely". |
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bluejays
said:
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... Prospect rankings for September Is there any reason in particular why V.Stalberg has jumped over T.Kennedy and C.Terry? Slalberg's upside was about 72 and these guys were 78 & 85? They are all around 1-2 yrs away. Just a bit confussed, has VT's upside increased? |
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Brett
said:
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Parshin Is the fact that he may never make the move to the NHL the reason Denis Parshin is ranked so low? Despite his small size, his wrist shot looks like it may be the second coming of Joe Sakic's. |
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Oilers rock 99
said:
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thank-you although I disagree with you on both points (Beach and Butler) it is great that you take the time to respond to your readers |
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Oilers rock 99
said:
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2 questions?? a little hard on beach being so far down why no love ??? mand Chris Buttler (D) for buffalo is he just not that good or did you miss him??? |
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bluejays
said:
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... 1) Caputi drops from 20 to 33. Any reason? I realize either he or Tang will win a spot and the ranking will be much higher once that position is won. Am I right? 2) Will Kane be a converted C (hurts my league) and is Joe Colborne on 2010 team? 3) Benn is 10-15 pts higher than MPS, Bowman and Tang. Is he that much better than those 3? I have them all close even though MPS maybe a yr later. 4) Why such a low rating on Schroeder? Is it b/c of his time frame (2+ yrs)? And why such big rating for Dmitri Kugryshev who is a couple yrs away and will have a very talented line in front? Seems to me Benn should be closer to those I mentioned, and Schroeder spread higher. 5) Landon Ferrero is 3-4 yrs away with a modest 72 up. Yet he's higher than Aaron Palushaj who may challenge for a top 6 this year. What's so great about Landon? 6) Why no love for Tim Kennedy? Huge upside, 1 yr away after Gerbe, and .92 PPG in the A already. Yet ranked next to Maxim Mayorov who is said to be 3yrs away? 7) Igor Makarov what is the deal? 32, 38, now 45. Is he coming over or what? Matt Beleskey is rated 62nd. A 3rd and 4th line player. 9) Jesse Joensuu at 79. Could he not be a future top 6 ahead of Comeau and Berg? Plus, he's NHL ready now. |
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kevinsrangers
said:
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... just wondering (as a rangers fan) is Bobby Sanguinetti #8-51.9 that much better than michael del zotto #24-39.7 or is there other factors involved ? |
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wizworm
said:
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... Dobber, have you given any thought to adding goalies to the prospect list? Maybe getting Justin Goldman to help out? I'm in a few keeper leauges and drafting good goalies makes a HUGE difference to your team. I managed to snag Varlamov in two of my leauges last summer before most of the other GM's knew who he was. |
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Rad64
said:
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Prospect rating system Hi Dobbs, Is there a top end limit to your formula since Filatov and Tavares are both over 100? Any chance we can see the top 50 D prospects? Thanks, Rad |
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Carcillo
said:
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Pesonen "The term 'prospect' is simply my opinion, and I followed no rules to say whether or not the player is actually a prospect other than age (under 27), and the player must belong to an NHL team." Shouldn't Janne Pesonen therefore be off this list? He's 27 and doesn't belong any NHL team. |
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tradejunkie
said:
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Moller and Leino Hm, curious why Moller is higher than Leino on this list, but on the top 300 players list, you have Leino above Moller?? |
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donna black
said:
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Corrente Does Matthew Corrente have any fantasy value in a points only pool? His numbers haven't been that good except for his PIM's ( which aren't taken into account in this ranking ). He's in a great situation in NJ but I'm surprised at his ranking even though he is probably much closer to making the NHL than others listed. |
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sentium
said:
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... How has Wilson "put up substantially better NCAA numbers than Jordan Schroeder (sic)"? In Wilson's first year at BU he got 12 goals and 23 assists for 35 points in 37 games. Schroeder, in his first year at University of Minnesota, got 13 goals and 32 assists for 45 points in 35 games. That's 10 more points in 2 fewer games. I'm willing to bet cold hard cash that Schroeder will outscore Wilson's totals in year two. |
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Jeff
said:
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What's with Wilson? Just looking at the company he's in at #29 on your list, I feel like he's not getting enough respect. Nashville doesn't exactly have a tough roster to crack and, in all fairness, he put up substantially better NCAA numbers than Jordan Shroeder (at #27). Moreover, Wilson did all that while the scouts were saying he was a great player in all 3 zones. This, to me, suggests that he's more likely to break into the NHL and put up better numbers than Jordan Shroeder, who's trying to crack a much better lineup in Vancouver at a younger age and considerably smaller stature (even undersized stature). This isn't to take anything away from Schroeder, who clearly has great offensive instincts. Still, I'd give schroeder a min. of 2 more years before he breaks the lineup in VAN, mainly because of his size and room for defensive improvement. |
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bluejays
said:
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... I thought MPS was 1 yr too...... In regards to not being in a rink for 2 yrs.....What about Ferrero? He is like 3-4 yrs away and has much less upside, but is still ranked in the 60's? Van Rym has been top 10 for 3 yrs and we all knew he would be awhile, and then being a power forward, we knew he'd be another few years before fantasy worthy numbers, yet..... |
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sentium
said:
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... Dobber, MPS signed a one-year extension with Timrå in February, not a two-year extension. I don't know where you're getting that two-year thing from. |
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Les
said:
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Avtsyn Just wondering the reasoning behind him being so high on the prospect list, but not getting drafted until the 4th round. |
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Eric Daoust
said:
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... Dobber: thanks for the heads up. Perhaps it is time that I buy your full fantasy package and get the full insight on everyone. I'll be taking care of that in the next couple weeks (traveling a lot right now). |
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bluejays
said:
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... To pick up on Randy Mollar. I agree with his point. MPS was dropped to 10, but is that the excuse to drop him so much. After all Schroeder went what #22 and is ranked much better??? That does not make any sense. A 95 pt upside for MPS and 80+ to your guide, and MPS is drafted 10 picks better. I don't understand that. MPS was spoken so highly on this site, and now he's way down. I too agree with Kane-Schroeder. Kane will be a 1st liner within 2 yrs. I would take him over Schenn and Kadri, yet why he's ranked so low, I have no idea. |
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Glen Hoos
said:
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Kane? Dobber, why the big difference between Kane and Schenn? From everything I've read, their potential is similar, and with the relative strength of LA's roster vs. Atlanta, it seems like Kane has a better chance of landing in the show (and in a scoring role) sooner than Schenn. |
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Eric Daoust
said:
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... Just wondering about Hillier and Parse. I'm looking over their careers and I see nothing special. Hillier was in the ECHL last season while Parse is barely established in the AHL. Is there something under the hood about these two that make them legitimate prospects? I'm wondering because I'm making a draft list for a very old league (most of the guys in the top 215 are owned in the league already) and a good part of my draft board is based on these rankings. Hillier and Parse are candidates to be available to me in the middle rounds... |
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AFlyers66
said:
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... Dobber, with your note regarding Dadonov's FLA signing, and Mursak dropping like a rock in the rankings, drop Mursak to pick up Dadonov and stash away in minors? |
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Randy Millar
said:
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Paajarvi-Svensson Dobber what gives with this guy, in the prospect you had him as thethird best forward available & Bugg him at #2...now Schenn is 25 spots higher and Kadri is even ranked higher whom you had at #9. So what gives? I know your a Leaf fan and all and it is Edmonton, but why such a drop so quickly? I drafted this guy on your advice and am concerned already...lol Thanks and great job on the site...nice! |
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Rad64
said:
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Ian Cole Hey Dobbs, I read this kid, Cole, might be ready this year..no fantasy impact since he doesn't appear on your list? Thanks! |
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Chris J
said:
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No love for Soderberg? Surprised that Sods is so low. It looks like he is coming to training camp this year, and the GM said that with Krejci and Kessel out of action to start, he may be able to jump right in. He has the skills to make an impact right away and it looks like he now has the oppourtunity to go with them. I may be drunk with expectations, as I just grabbed him, but I think he will make a splash if he sticks. And I think he will stick! |
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Mike Terrion
said:
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... very interesting !!! I remember a few months ago Dobber wrote that he would not trade Purcell straight up for Moller. Now he has Moller ranked slightly higher. I wonder what prompted that change? I'm not complaining since I own Moller. But the Smyth trade should have affected them equally, so I don't know why Moller vaulted Teddy. |
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Ryan Lenethen
said:
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All that is Man! Well I protected Nikita Filatov from last year, and I did so horrible I get first pick which will be John Tavares, so my future is looking bright! |
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, still....of the ones i know , should be higher than Legace Trotter and definately Chipchura who is the forth center in Anaheim, but he cracks the list
? How different is the criteria on these charts vs. the Defencemen lists?
